Trump: 40-45%
Haley: 20-25%
DeSantis: 14-20%
Ramaswamy: 2-10%
The above predictions are a combination of observations and just pure guess work on our part. If Trump gets 45% or less of the vote that could be a danger signal to his campaign. If DeSantis doesn’t come in second tonight his campaign is over. We have been convinced it’s been over for awhile and he is just hoping to postpone dropping out until next week in New Hampshire. Nikki Haley should be able to make it to New Hampshire, if she gets 20% that would help, if she gets 25% or higher than she will get more momentum going to New Hampshire. As for Vivek Ramaswamy stick a fork in him he’s done! On Saturday Trump threw Vivek under the bus, but being the boot locker he is he just said to Trump: “Thanks for the beating, please give me another!” Would be funny if he drains enough from Donald to humiliate him!
As political strategist Mike Murphy has said on his “Hacks on Tap” podcast one factor tonight is since the Democrats for all practical purposes aren’t really having a caucus there will be a lot of democratic and independent voters in Iowa with nothing to do. Some will switch their voter registration to republican to vote in Iowa could have an impact. Question is will it be 5,000 or 35,000 crossover voters in Iowa?
We will wait and see. We will be back maybe later tonight, but hopefully in a day or two with some review and analysis on Iowa. Take care and be safe, and we will catch you all later!
